Monday, October 6, 2008
Market Price Prediction, Mr. Soros, and this blog!
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We have been made aware of information circulating on the internet that the editor of this blog is Mr. Soros. Readers are pointing to an article that described a 100%accurate vision of what were to come, why, in what sequence, and how. The article was written past May, and the relevant part of the article is included below.
We would comment later.
On May 07, 2008 we wrote:
"Here is what I think the message of the markets is/going to be:
1. Stock market down because of recession/earnings. Fed does not have much room to cut more.
2. Other countries will cut rates to fight spreading recession, causing interest rate differential between dollar world and non-dollar world to shrink. This is bullish for the dollar (similar to dividend increase in stocks).
3. Point 2. will lead to further strength of the dollar because of momentum in currency pairs created by dollar bulls (change of trend in favor of the dollar), and money running to safety to USA and buying of assets/bonds.
4. Points 1. to 2. will cause commodities to be less in demand, and therefore a reduction in their perceived price will follow. This will translate to weaking in futures prices, helped with a strengthning dollar. Once the down trend is established, the bears (and their aunts) will take care of the bear trend in commodities.
The first wave: dollar up, and market down. Commodities afterwards with possible sharp corrections as a beginning to disorient the bulls before the kill.
Long dollar/short foreign currencies, short US equities and international, and start shorting commodities once a top is comfirmed, etc.
"
Related link:
http://financialtraders.blogspot.com/2008/08/dollar-equities-stocks-and-commodities.html
We would comment later.
On May 07, 2008 we wrote:
"Here is what I think the message of the markets is/going to be:
1. Stock market down because of recession/earnings. Fed does not have much room to cut more.
2. Other countries will cut rates to fight spreading recession, causing interest rate differential between dollar world and non-dollar world to shrink. This is bullish for the dollar (similar to dividend increase in stocks).
3. Point 2. will lead to further strength of the dollar because of momentum in currency pairs created by dollar bulls (change of trend in favor of the dollar), and money running to safety to USA and buying of assets/bonds.
4. Points 1. to 2. will cause commodities to be less in demand, and therefore a reduction in their perceived price will follow. This will translate to weaking in futures prices, helped with a strengthning dollar. Once the down trend is established, the bears (and their aunts) will take care of the bear trend in commodities.
The first wave: dollar up, and market down. Commodities afterwards with possible sharp corrections as a beginning to disorient the bulls before the kill.
Long dollar/short foreign currencies, short US equities and international, and start shorting commodities once a top is comfirmed, etc.
"
Related link:
http://financialtraders.blogspot.com/2008/08/dollar-equities-stocks-and-commodities.html
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